Trump is right about some major problems, but intolerance, fear, and division are not the answers to those problems. I hope to persuade you to not vote for Trump, in the most fair and even way I can.
I will say upfront, this was a hard article for me to write. I am generally a positive person, and love to find the good in others. But I couldn’t remain silent during this important time in the making of the history of the United States. Of course I value friendships and relationships above politics. If anyone feels I have been unfair, or offensive, please message me. Let’s talk. I can apologize. Because we all need to work together to solve the problems facing our great nation.
When I first heard Trump was running I rolled my eyes. But as he continued to win Primaries and I started researching the different Presidential candidates, I grew concerned. The more I learned about Trump, the more I thought he was not fit to be President. But I was missing something. No one I knew was voting for Trump. Who was? And why?
I had to find out. I read Trumps contract for America. I asked friends for well written articles that were supportive of Trump. I read hundreds of articles from a wide range of sources about Trump. I tried to really understand why people were planning on voting for Donald Trump.
In doing so, I learned a few things. Trump supporters are not crazy. They are not uneducated, or white trash, or any of the other names pundits have called them over the last few months. They are concerned, scared, and sometimes angry Americans. They want to be heard, and they want change.
I also found that Trump is right about some big things.
He’s right that many Americans are getting left behind or actively held back by the system. He’s right that the economy is not growing or changing fast enough. He’s right that we’re drowning in political correctness, and that broken campaign finance laws have bred a class of ineffective career politicians.
But Trump is wrong about the more important part: how to fix these problems. Many of his proposals, such as they are, are so wrong they’re difficult to even respond to. Even more dangerous, though, is the way he’s wrong. He is not merely irresponsible. He is irresponsible in the way dictators are.
Trump’s casual sexism, racism, misogyny, and conspiracy theories are without precedent among major presidential nominees. Trump distracts us with hate of outsiders in the hopes that we don’t notice he has no plan for the inside. He has failed to put forward a serious plan to solve the problems he points out. Instead, he tries to distract us with fear of Them. The problems are China, Muslims, immigrants, elites or elections being rigged by Them.
I truly believe America is great. By any measure or statistic. But that greatness is not distributed evenly. There are pockets of America where America is not great. Where there is struggle and fear and pain. Trump is feeding off of that pain. He is painting himself as a solution to their problems, the only solution to their problems.
But even though the issues are real, Trump is not the answer.
This is a long article. Feel free to skip around as best suits you.
I am going to cover:
- Reasons to vote for Trump — arguments are some rebuttals
- Reasons to not vote for Trump
- Reasons not to vote for Clinton — Many are only voting for Trump to vote against Clinton so I will cover the reasons not to vote for Clinton and some rebuttals.
- What we can do regardless of who wins
Reasons to vote for Trump
Here are the reasons I could find, of why you should vote for Trump, as well as my brief rebuttals.
1. Trump will ensure a conservative Supreme Court
This is put forward as one of the top arguments for why you should vote for Trump.
However I don’t trust Trump to nominate conservative candidates. Trump is not conservative. He has taken various and sundry positions on abortion. Don’t get me wrong, I fully support politicians changing their views and evolving they opinions but I don’t think Trump has strong views or opinions. He says what he thinks people will like. Currently he thinks that more people will like him, if he says that he will appoint appoint conservative judges. I don’t know if he will.
2. Trump will reduce corruption in government and reform government.
This is the reason that Peter Thiel is supporting Trump. It claims Trump is a wrecking ball at a time when Washington needs a wrecking ball. Honestly, this is the argument that rang truest to me. It is only because there are so many problems and issues with government that this argument can exist at all.
Unfortunately, I don’t think Trump is in favor of a smaller more limited government”. It seems his solution is to spend the same money, just differently. He opposes any cuts to Social Security and Medicare, and says that with him in charge, the Federal Government can increase military expenditures , quickly and efficiently deport 11 million undocumented immigrants, build a giant wall along the Mexican border (whatever form the wall takes be it electronic, laws, enforcement, concrete) destroy ISIS, bottle up Iran and North Korea, rebuild our crumbling infrastructure, and do this all while cutting taxes. He proposes cuts in some areas, like Obamacare, Medicaid and non-defense domestic spending, but increase spending on defense, veterans, child care and Medicare. So it feels like Trump is not in favor of a smaller government. Just a different government.
And while he claims he would reduce the debt, nonpartisan tax groups who have looked at both candidates plan have said the $14 trillion in publicly held debt would rise to $23.9 trillion by 2026 under Clinton’s plans for raising taxes and boosting domestic spending, while soaring to $35.2 trillion under Trump’s proposals for record tax cuts for wealthy Americans and increased defense spending.
3. Trump will end our problems with immigration
I wholeheartedly support immigration. I believe America’s secret weapon is immigration. All 6 of the last American winners of the Nobel Prize were immigrants.
His threats to ban all Muslims from entering the country cuts close to home. I am LDS and it was not that long ago my ancestors were persecuted and killed for their religion. America is land where you can practice your religion. And it should continue to be the place you can come to practice your religion.
Trump says we should ban legal immigration from ‘high risk’ countries which I disagree with. Of course there are good people and bad people, and we should try to pick the goods ones, but how can you tell? Steve Jobs father was Syrian, from a ‘high risk’ country, rocked by a coup in 1949, and civil war in 1951. Trump has called for a ban on Muslim immigration.
Trumps position on HB1 visas is conflicted but appears to be negative on them, and I think HB1 visas are super important for our tech industry (where I work).
Trump says he is focusing only on illegal immigration but his rhetoric makes all immigrants feel unwelcome. And whether he focuses on illegal immigration or legal immigration, the feeling and tone is ‘we don’t want you here’, which I don’t support.
4. Trump is ‘different, an outsider’. Elites need a rebuke.
Basically same argument as he will reform government. I agree we need to reduce lobbyist power, reduce special interest power, and require more out of our government.
5. Trump will returning manufacturing jobs to America
Offshoring manufacturing is a nice scapegoat for US problems. But unfortunately not true. Global manufacturing is trending in a positive direction for the U.S. Factory jobs are on the rise here, and many of these new jobs are coming back to North America from China, which is struggling to maintain its manufacturing capacity, and is struggling to find enough jobs to keep its workforce busy. China’s steel industry still loses around $10 billion a year — and that’s including state incentives such as free electricity.
In the 6 years since March, 2010, when manufacturing employment in the U.S. hit a low of 11.45 million jobs, nearly a million new factory positions have been created, most of them in the Southern states, particularly North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee.
Better still, the jobs are typically good ones: across that same five-year period, average hourly manufacturing wages have increased over ten per cent, to more than twenty dollars. On the whole, U.S. manufacturing, as measured by the Purchasing Managers’ Index, has steadily expanded. Bringing back the millions of other manufacturing jobs just won’t happen as automation and other technological advances make manufacturing more efficient.
Added on top of the difficulty of bringing all those jobs back, Trump doesn’t really have a plan to do so. He has mentioned tariffs and regulations, which are definitely not the usual conservative method. Trump has promised to shred America’s trade deals and impose fines on imports from Mexico and China. These actions won’t bring back manufacturing jobs, but instead could drive up prices as well as ignite a trade war. Economists find that trade deals usually have little overall effect on jobs — positive or negative — partly because the US economy is already open to foreign competition. Bigger forces such as huge wage gaps between the United States and developing countries, and automation that lets companies replace workers, play a much larger role in job losses.
If Trump did raise tariffs, China would probably respond by raising tariffs on the US and restricting goods. Then other actors and other countries around the world are going to start raising tariffs, which looks exactly like what happened with the 1930 Smoot-Hawley legislation which actually worsened the world economy and prolonged the Great Depression.
Trump is anti Trade. Promises of tariffs and penalties and canceling trade treaties. His policies and rhetoric threaten a trade war with China and Mexico.
I support and believe in free trade. Trump does not. Simply slapping tariffs on goods won’t bring those jobs back to the US. Trade hurts some industries and helps others. Instead of trade, it can be argued that lack of labor dynamism is one of the major issues. Government policies play a huge role in that, and policies that reduce dynamism in the labor market — minimum wage laws, protectionist occupational licensing, various taxes and regulations — make it more difficult for businesses and workers to match up after economic disruption. Instead of making trade harder, the US needs to focus on creating the regulatory environment and dynamic market that will bring new types of jobs to our cities.
6. Trump is self funding his campaign so he is not reliant on donors, so he can’t be bought
Trump over the course of the campaign has frequently criticized his rivals for being beholden to special interests and corporations. Yet super PACs backing Mr. Trump have raised $33 million just from donors who wrote checks of $1 million or more, including four billionaires. Mr. Trump also gave a top donor, hedge-fund executive Robert Mercer, hefty influence within his campaign.
Overall, Trump’s official campaign has reported $83.1 million in receipts from June to August ― the latter month being the most recently disclosed to the Federal Election Commission. His own contributions account for just 7 percent of the total.
This number can change dramatically when you take into account loans, in kind, rent Trump charges his campaign, Super PACs, special interest groups etc. And while I do agree that campaign financing needs to be addressed, and Trump has put more of his own money into the campaign than Clinton, he is not self funding his campaign, and did not even put in the $100 million that he repeatedly stated he would.
7. Trump is great at business so he will be able to manage the country well.
There is less evidence that you would think of Trump being great at business.
It has been estimated that if Trump just took the small loans of millions of dollars his father gave him and invested in the stock market he would have tripled his money. Of course that is easy to say after the fact. Many people if they had invested in Apple stock instead of buying Apple products could be millionaires. So we can’t look too much into that.
However, we can look at the fact that Trumps father was instrumental in Trumps rise, financially and politically. One of Trump’s first business successes only happened because key city officials gave him tax breaks after they had received years of donations from his father, Fred Trump. And Trump’s father had to cosign the many contracts that the deal required. He also lent Trump seven and a half million dollars to get started as a casino owner in Atlantic City; at one point, when Trump couldn’t meet payments on other loans, his father tried to tide him over by sending a lawyer to buy some three million dollars’ worth of gambling chips.
Trump companies have declared bankruptcy 6 times. Of course the ability to fail and try again is a boon to businesses. However Trump has seemingly treated bankruptcy as a way to put the bills on someone else, or get out of them entirely. Trump has tried to normalize it, saying that ‘everyone files for bankruptcy’. But in fact, no major U.S. company has filed for Chapter 11 more than Trump’s casino empire in the last 30 years.
There is also evidence that he is a much less successful businessman than he states. One bank estimated his fortune to by only $788 million, as opposed to the $8 billion he claims. And Trump is quoted often that he values his businesses on how he ‘feels’ about them.
Is Trump a successful businessman? Yes, he took part of his father’s fortune and company and made it much larger and more successful. He uses the press very well, and knows how to market.
Is Trump a successful businessman because of traits we would look for in a President? Probably not. Tony Schwartz, who wrote the Art of the Deal, says the book is pure myth-making. He followed Trump for 18 months and says Trump is “pathologically impulsive and self-centered”. He reports Trump “has no attention span”. While trying to get more material about the deals Trump had done for the book he would call others involved in the deals. But their accounts often directly conflicted with Trump’s. “Lying is second nature to him,” Schwartz reports. “More than anyone else I have ever met, Trump has the ability to convince himself that whatever he is saying at any given moment is true, or sort of true, or at least ought to be true.” Some of the traits that Tony found distasteful in Trump had were “his willingness to run over people, the gaudy, tacky, gigantic obsessions, the absolute lack of interest in anything beyond power and money.” Tony reports that Trump is the type to “like people when they were helpful, and turn on them when they weren’t. It wasn’t personal. He’s a transactional man — it was all about what you could do for him.”
So to sum up, Trump has qualities that made him a successful businessman. But those traits are not the same traits that a President of the Unites States needs. And it is impossible to look at his qualities as a businessman while overlooking other qualities that make Trump is unfit to be president. Trump is a racist, a sexist, and a bigot, and I don’t say that lightly. He doesn’t understand world or domestic policy and has no desire to learn it. Trump is a pathological liar. Again I do not say these things lightly. And these are not baseless accusations. Trump has proved these by his words and actions in public forums.
8. Trump would reduce or end our involvement in foreign wars
Related to the outsider, and reform government reasons. I actually agree with this. If Trump actual would or could do this, I would support that. However I worry Trumps temperament and rash decisions could embroil more conflict and turmoil.
Reasons not to vote for Donald Trump
If it were only Donald Trump’s positions on the issues, and his policies that were under consideration, I would be more open to voting for him. But unfortunately it is not. Trump has consistently displayed traits and actions that I believe make him unfit for the Presidency. And he has displayed some traits that I think make him dangerous to democracy.
Trump lies constantly
Trump is perhaps the most dishonest person to run for high office in our lifetimes. All politicians stretch the truth, but Trump has a steady obliviousness to accuracy. Trump lies constantly. About everything. Polifact tracks false statements by both candidates and Hillary has 29 false statements, Trump has 110 false statements.
PolitiFact had found 27 percent of Clinton’s statements that it had looked into were mostly false or worse, compared with 70 percent of Trump’s. PolitiFact said 2 percent of Clinton’s statements it had reviewed were egregious “pants on fire” lies, compared with 19 percent of Trump’s. So Trump has nine times the share of flat-out lies as Clinton. 9x.
Trump lies about owning stock, lies about his net worth, lies about his support for the war in Iraq, lies about his past position. It seems he lies about everything.
It can be said Hillary fibs while Trump lies, hugely, all the time. Am I giving a free pass to Hillary for lying? No. I believe all politicians (and people in general) should be honest and upright. But voting for Trump over Hillary because of Hillary’s honesty is not a logical argument. There are other reasons, but comparisons of honesty is not one of them.
General Lack of Knowledge
Trump often displays a striking lack of knowledge about public policy and government. Worse, he shows no interest in learning it. His autobiographer says he never saw Trump read a book. He used to claim his favorite book was Art of the Deal. Since running he switched to the Bible. This is strikingly contrasted with former Presidents Clinton, Bush, and Obama who all read widely and frequently. Trump has no realistic policies, and shows no desire to learn more about them. He borrows talking points from wherever and whoever sounds the best.
Some say that Trump will surround himself with the most knowledgeable people who will help him govern, but so far this doesn’t seem to be the case. He claims to know ‘more than the generals’ and that the intelligence briefings given to him are incorrect. It is reported that he wouldn’t listen to advisors to prepare for the debates and would routinely ignore speech advice.
Trump is a bully
He calls his opponents names. The New York Times went through and made a list of all the things Trump has insulted. It is 282 items long, with many entries having multiple insulting entries.
In a normal election cycle, a candidate making an offhand racist remark about a sitting US senator (calling Sen. Elizabeth Warren “Pocahontas”) would be a big news story. In this crazy campaign it is lost in the shuffle of other crazy things.
Trumps supporters will often swarm reporters and anyone not supporting Trump with racist and anti-Semitic attacks.
Trump is dangerous to democracy
Trump openly calls for the U.S to commit war crimes and advocates for the murder of women and children. When critics bring up the fact that US soldiers would not commit war crimes or torture children even if ordered to, Trump responds with, “They’re not going to refuse me. If I say do it, they’re going to do it.“
While a candidate can’t control who endorse his campaign, I think there is a dangerous pattern in who is endorsing Trump. North Korean Dictator Kim Jong-Un endorses Trump. Vladimir Putin, a leader with history of human rights abuses endorses Trump. The K.K.K endorses Trump. And Trump has praised dictators like Saddam Hussein, Bashar al-Assad and Muammar Gaddafi.
The ACLU made a list of all of Trumps unconstitutional propositions. The explanation of how they violate the constitution and the discussion around them is 28 pages long.
Trump has man fascist and dictatorial tendencies and proclamations. He stokes fear and claims that only he can fix it.
Trump is sexist
Trump has called women, at various times, fat, pig, dog, slob, and disgusting animal. It is painful for me to even write those. Trump was considered very sexist before the Access Hollywood tapes came out. And I strongly condemn sexism. All are created equal, both men, and women.
Of course you can’t mention Trump without mentioning Hillary. A lot of people are supporting Trump because Trump is not Hillary. They feel that a vote for Trump to vote against Clinton
So I had to do my research there as well. Why are people so against Hillary, that they would consider voting for Trump instead. Here are the main reasons I found put forward to vote against Hillary:
1. Clinton Foundation received donations from foreign interests who wanted to curry favor with the US.
This is primarily where the ‘Crooked Hillary’ slogans come from. Critics alleged that Bill Clinton’s fundraising, which in many cases came from foreign billionaires who have reason to court influence in the United States government, created at the very least the perception of quid-pro-quo corruption, in which big dollar donations to the Clinton Foundation won favorable treatment from Hillary Clinton in her roles as senator and Secretary of State.
This was the argument of a book released last year by conservative writer Peter Schweizer called Clinton Cash, which claimed to have discovered several examples in which big donations from wealthy foreigners led Hillary Clinton to give official favors. Schweizer found no hard evidence of a time when Hillary Clinton changed her opinion on an issue of concern or provided an official favor for a Clinton Foundation donor.
Under Hillary Clinton, the State Department did favors for a number of nations that either paid Bill Clinton ENORMOUS sums to do speeches or gave large gifts to the Clinton Foundation. That’s unethical on its face and it seems likely that the Clintons were receiving outright bribes, but as was mentioned earlier in reference to her email scandal, Hillary Clinton seems to be above the law. The foundation, which says it has more than 330,000 contributors, has been criticized for accepting foreign donations while Clinton was secretary of state, including from Algeria, Kuwait, Qatar and Oman, and for accepting Saudi Arabia’s money before and after her tenure.
Hillary is corrupt — In a country where money is the essential fuel for political success, no politician, save for those who are independently wealthy, can avoid the seemingly contradictory task of courting rich donors all to represent the majority of Americans who aren’t affluent. We should remember that it is fairly uncommon for people like the Clintons, who weren’t already wealthy, to ascend to the highest levels of American power. The fact that the Clintons (Bill, in particular) are more familiar with how the other half lives than most politicians should be comforting for those who think that money has too much influence on the American political process.
That said, there are plenty of troubling details in Hillary Clinton’s past, even if there isn’t evidence of quid-pro-quo arrangements with her benefactors. If corruption is a vice against which our leaders must be ever vigilant, then Hillary Clinton is not actually a shining example of such discipline.
2. Hillary was responsible for Benghazi, in which 4 Americans were killed.
Many persons and Departments were at fault in that tragedy. The attack happened during Obama’s re-election and many feel the government was not totally transparent and forthcoming about what happened. There are allegations that President Obama and administration officials mislead the public when they initially claimed that the deadly Sept. 11 attack on the U.S. consulate in Benghazi began “spontaneously” in response to an anti-Muslim video, and refused to recognize it as a terrorist attack. Now, 4 years later, some have tried to blame the lack of preparations and ‘misleading official statements’ on Hillary, as she was over the State Department at the time, which had jurisdiction of the compound in Benghazi and security for the Ambassador etc. On June 28th the House committee that did the investigation in Clinton released their final report. The 800-page report delivered a broad rebuke of the Defense Department, the Central Intelligence Agency and the State Department — and the officials who led them — for failing to grasp the acute security risks in Benghazi, and especially for maintaining outposts there that they could not protect. But it did not specifically find wrongdoings on the part of Hillary Clinton.
3. Hillary broke the law and endangered Americans by having a private email server.
A May report from the State Department inspector general is harshly critical of Clinton’s email approach, but Loretta Lynch announced on July 6 that the Justice Department would not pursue criminal charges, removing the threat of an indictment that could be fatal to her campaign. On October 28, the FBI announced is it reviewing a new tranche of emails that turned up in an unrelated investigation, but it did not offer any other details on the scope. In any case, the scandal will remain a millstone around her neck forever. Comey’s damning comments about her conduct — “Although we did not find clear evidence that Secretary Clinton or her colleagues intended to violate laws governing the handling of classified information, there is evidence that they were extremely careless in their handling of very sensitive, highly classified information” — will reverberate throughout the campaign.
4. Hillary enabled her husband.
She has been accused of being an enabler of a serial adulterer. I don’t enjoy reading about these issues (super depressing) and don’t have much to say about this issue. All think about this issue, is there is a fine line, from the public view, between enabling and defending your family. Forgiveness is real, and this seems like a very difficult family situation that maybe shouldn’t be used for political purposes.
5.Hillary is too old / not healthy enough
I was surprised this was one of the reasons people give for not voting for Hillary. She had a concussion in 2012, and she suffers from headaches, blood clots, and there are reports of fainting spells. Her collapse related to pneumonia brought this item into the light.
However, that fact that this is being brought up as a big issue is troubling. Andrew Jackson was sickly. Grover Cleveland has obesity, gout, and kidney and heart issues. William Taft was obese. Woodrow Wilson had hypertension, headaches, double vision, and strokes that left him blind in his left eye, paralyzing his left side and forcing him into a wheelchair. FDR had polio. Kennedy had Addison’s disease — a life threatening, incurable disorder of the adrenal glands. Reagan was considered by some medically unfit and had many procedures and problems. There is a long history of health problems and the Presidency.
Lucky for us, solutions to dealing with Presidential health problems are already built into the Constitution. That is kind of what Vice Presidents are for. Kaine would take over if Hillary was unable to fulfill her duties.
Trump is not free of discussions about his health as well. Trump is one of the oldest Presidential Candidates. He has not released medical records as is customary for candidates.
6. Hillary Clinton is a liar.
This came up again and again so I attempted to make a list of the major reasons people feel Hillary lies, and my clarifications and or rebuttals.
She claims their family was broke leaving the White House.
The public record shows that they possibly had more liabilities than assets. They had debts of 2.3 million and 1.8 million in assets, but finances are complicated, so it doesn’t show that conclusively. Regardless, ‘dead broke’ for the Clintons is not the same as dead broke for everyone else. Which is why most consider this a lie.
She said she came under sniper fire Bosnia
During the 2008 campaign, Clinton said she came under sniper fire in Bosnia during the ’90s. She went so far as to claim her group ran “with our heads down to get into the vehicles to get to our base.” Video of her actual arrival surfaced showing a very calm scene instead, and the Democrat would quickly say she simply misspoke.
Hillary claimed claimed her infamous private e-mail server was set up in “accordance with the rules and the regulations in effect.”
Former Secretary of State Clinton claimed her private e-mail server was set up in “accordance with the rules and the regulations in effect.” A federal judge disagreed, saying Clinton “violated government policy” when she used a private server to store official State Department messages. This has been dealt with above, and Hillarys actions have been found to be in error, and a breach of policy but not illegal.
Hillary did not tell the truth about Benghazi
Dealt with above.
Claiming to be voting for Donald Trump because Hillary is a liar makes no sense to me. Hillary lies. Trump lies constantly. About everything. Polifact tracks false statements by both candidates and Hillary has 29 false statements, Trump has 110 false statements.
PolitiFact had found 27 percent of Clinton’s statements that it had looked into were mostly false or worse, compared with 70 percent of Trump’s. PolitiFact said 2 percent of Clinton’s statements it had reviewed were egregious “pants on fire” lies, compared with 19 percent of Trump’s. So Trump has nine times the share of flat-out lies as Clinton. 9x.
It can be said Hillary fibs while Trump lies, hugely, all the time. Am I giving a free pass to Hillary for lying? No. I believe all politicians (and people in general) should be honest and upright. But voting for Trump over Hillary because of honest is not a logical argument. There are other good reasons, but comparisons of honesty is not one of them. See the arguments against Trumps lies above.
7. She would continue Obama’s economic policies.
Critics claim Hillary is indifferent to the national operating debt of over $19 trillion. I do agree with these ideas. We can’t run a debt forever. Obamacare has issues that need to be solved. We need to reduce in many cases Government regulation and oversight.
8. Hillary failed in the Middle East and lead to the rise of ISIS
While I agree the US made mistakes in the Middle East, Clinton left the State Department in January 2013 and ISIS wasn’t founded until three months later.
It could be argued that Obama’s policies, of which the State Department with Clinton at the head, created conditions which led to the rise of ISIS. But this is a troubling line of thought. ISIS came from Al-Qaeda, which had no presence in Iraq before the US invasion in 2003. So the US invasion of Iraq probably contributed. The Syrian civil war also contributed, along with the Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Malikis marginalized Sunnis. No US president has had success in the Middle East. I would go as far as to say no government anywhere has had success in the Middle East.
And holding up Trump as a solution to ISIS seems laughable. Trump has no real policy ideas about how to solve the Syrian and Iraqi civil wars, which are not an easy tasks. He claims he knows more than the generals, and he can’t put forth policy or plans because we need to surprise the enemy.
I don’t think Hillary or Trump has solutions to the Middle East.
9. Hillary supports abortion
Hillary is Pro-choice. Trump is Pro-life. Seems like an easy one. One of the reasons I am not voting for Hillary. However, as mentioned above, I am not sure Trump has a strong decision on his actual position.
What we can do, regardless of who wins
We can support local and state governments. We can participate in the democratic process. We can stop reading click bait, and seek to truly understand. We can reach out to someone who is different than you. We can serve our friends, neighbors, and community.
America will survive and thrive regardless of who is the President. We have had poor presidents before, and we will have bad Presidents in the future.
Checks and balances in the Government need to be strengthened. I have a whole separate article about what are some of the underlying issues and suggested solutions coming out soon. Still writing that one. :)
Are you voting for Hillary?
No. I think Hillary is experienced and rational. I think she has the best interests of the US at heart most of the time. But I disagree with the methods. I disagree with Big Government, and I think Hillary is to closely connected with her party and special interests to fix the problems. I am voting for Evan McMullin, because I live in Utah and he can win the state.
Will a McMullin victory in Utah help Trump?
Short answer, no.
Long answer, in only 1 of the 6 potential outcomes.
Oh definitely. The House Reps will have the hardest choice of their life perhaps. There will be a LOT of horse trading going on if a tie goes to the house.
But important to remember, each state delegation has one vote.
57 out of 248 Republican Reps have publicly refused to support Trump. That is 22%. Who knows how many more wish they could do the same privately but don’t have the courage.
So Arizona for example has 4 Dems and 5 Republicans. If 1 Rep is anti-Trump (4*22% = .88 so we are getting close) it could swing it away from Trump. This is good.
But regardless of what happens in the small chance of a tie, it doesn’t matter if Trump wins outright. We need to prevent that. 538 currently has the chance of an Electoral College tie at .6%, a Hillary win at 64% and a Trump win at 35%. I want to reduce that 35%. Trump is predicted to win Utah. McMullin is 11% chance in Utah, Clinton only a 3%. So I want to take Electoral college votes from Trump. McMullin is the only way to do that at the moment.
This is why we need smaller government. There is no way that everyone can agree on everything. So we need to take a smaller set of issues life liberty and pursuit of happiness. Officials will a put those instead of regional interests or special interests.
I don’t believe America is not great. Yes there are issues. Yes we have things we need to fix. But we can’t just blame everything on everyone else. It is not always someone else’s fault. We need to reach across the aisle, and work together to fix the problems that America as a whole faces.
I started writing this on March 1st 2016. How do I know the date? I looked at the revision history in Medium. 8 months ago was Super Tuesday. I had been following the Presidential campaign for a while. I didn’t know who I supported out of a crowded field of candidates. But I was amazed when Trump won 7 states on Super Tuesday. I started writing a list of why I didn’t think Donald Trump should be President. It has become a lot more than that.
Before March 1st I hadn’t said anything publicly about the presidential election. But I started doing my homework. I think seeing Mitt Romney, for who openly arguing against Trump gave me the courage to speak out as well. My first Facebook post about Trump was on March 6th. My first tweet about Trump was June 21st. My first #NeverTrump tweet was June 29th.
I have been more active politically in this election than at any time before. This article is a collection of my research, other comments on Facebook and conversations.
http://www.theamericanconservative.com/dreher/trump-us-politics-poor-whites/ — This is the single best article I have read about why people are voting for Trump
http://blog.samaltman.com/trump — Trump is right about some things.
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/cover_story/2016/07/donald_trump_is_unfit_to_be_president_here_are_141_reasons_why.html — 230 things Trump has said that make him unfit to be President
https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/politics/2016-election/trump-lies/ — Trump lies constantly.
http://www.vox.com/2016/3/1/11127424/trump-authoritarianism — Trump is a reflection of a rise in Authoritarianism
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/05/martha-nussbaum-anger/481464/ — anger fulls some Trump support
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/04/america-tyranny-donald-trump.html — Plato predicted Trump
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/01/28/upshot/donald-trump-twitter-insults.html — Trump insults things constantly
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HLNhPMQnWu4&feature=youtu.be — John Cleese on Extremism from a British perspective.
https://backchannel.com/how-donald-trump-hijacked-the-authenticity-of-the-web-2203467ebb77#.f9h1hg8sb — By attacking Trump appears authentic
https://medium.com/@Chris_arnade/trump-politics-and-option-pricing-or-why-trump-voters-are-not-idiots-1e364a4ed940#.9aulwmwxz — Trump supporters are not idiots
http://blog.dilbert.com/post/146605145036/persuasion-update-clinton-vs-trump — Clinton vs Trump persuasive techniques.
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/24/opinion/sunday/is-donald-trump-a-racist.html — Trump has a racist history
http://www.nationalreview.com/article/438669/donald-trump-supreme-court-trump-card-argument-flawed-hillary-clinton-may-not-be — Supreme Court not enough reason to vote for Trump
http://www.vox.com/2016/9/12/12887522/donald-trump-interview-shocking-numb — Shocking what passes as normal in the election
https://action.aclu.org/sites/default/files/pages/trumpmemos.pdf — Trumps proposals are un Constitutional
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/22/opinion/campaign-stops/the-dark-knight.html — fear based. Only Trump can fix it.
http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2016/09/26/president-trumps-first-term — Trumps first term
http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2016/07/25/donald-trumps-ghostwriter-tells-all — Trumps ghostwriter says he is not fit to be president.
http://www.vox.com/2016/9/12/12887522/donald-trump-interview-shocking-numb — Trump doesn’t understand public policy.
https://twitter.com/JoshDance/status/748229806592921600?lang=en — my first #NeverTrump tweet.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/super-tuesday-primaries-presidential-election-2016/ — Super Tuesday results
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/nobel-prize-winners-immigrants-us-donald-trump-brexit-immigration-racism-post-referendum-racism-a7355406.html — Nobel Prize winners are all immigrants.
https://joshuamcnall.com/2016/10/10/why-id-rather-lose-my-religious-liberty-than-vote-for-donald-trump/ — Why Supreme Court is not a good arguement for Christians.
http://townhall.com/columnists/johnhawkins/2016/08/06/25-reasons-not-to-vote-for-hillary-clinton-n2202375 — reasons to not vote for Hillary
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/10/tracking-the-clinton-controversies-from-whitewater-to-benghazi/396182/ — Hillary Clinton Scandals, a primer
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/foreign-governments-gave-millions-to-foundation-while-clinton-was-at-state-dept/2015/02/25/31937c1e-bc3f-11e4-8668-4e7ba8439ca6_story.html — Foreign governments gave millions to foundation while Clinton was at State Dept.
http://www.factcheck.org/2016/10/a-false-corruption-claim/ — Hillary urnanium and conflict of interests info
http://fortune.com/2016/06/13/clinton-money-scandals/ — Clinton Foundation fundraising issues
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/06/29/us/politics/hillary-clinton-benghazi.html — Benghazi report.
http://www.factcheck.org/2012/10/benghazi-timeline/ — Benghazi Timeline
http://www.factcheck.org/2016/06/the-benghazi-timeline-clinton-edition/ — Benghazi Timeline, Clinton edition
http://www.thepoliticalinsider.com/t-day-evergreen-7-wildest-lies-hillary-clinton/ — list of Hillary Clinton lies.
http://www.politifact.com/personalities/hillary-clinton/statements/byruling/false/ — All false statements from Hillary Clinton. 29 false statements
http://www.politifact.com/personalities/donald-trump/statements/byruling/false/ — All false statements from Donald Trump, 110 false statements
http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/lists/people/comparing-hillary-clinton-donald-trump-truth-o-met/ — comparing Hillary and Trump lies — Trump wins
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/07/opinion/sunday/clintons-fibs-vs-trumps-huge-lies.html — 9x more lies from Trump
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2016/07/27/why-clinton-is-less-trusted-when-trump-lies-much-more/ — Why Clinton is trusted less than Trump
https://theringer.com/what-to-remember-when-the-trump-comeback-begins-1db1c4698eef#.nm6xpiyxh — What Trump could have done.
http://www.thefiscaltimes.com/2016/11/04/What-Happens-If-Trump-v-Clinton-Ends-Electoral-College-Tie — Tie in the Electoral College
https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/enabler-or-family-defender-how-hillary-clinton-responded-to-husbands-accusers/2016/09/28/58dad5d4-6fb1-11e6-8533-6b0b0ded0253_story.html — Did Hillary enable Bill or defend him?
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/trump-rolls-out-anti-semitic-closing-ad — Trump anti-Semitism
https://twitter.com/HeerJeet/status/795064586688954368 — thoughts on Trump campaigns anti-Semitism
https://www.quora.com/Is-there-evidence-that-Donald-Trump-as-a-businessman-is-the-same-as-how-he-currently-is/answer/Joshua-Dance — Trump is not a good businessman
https://medium.com/@emmalindsay/trump-supporters-aren-t-stupid-3d38f70f2a2f#.fnjlwwgjr — Trump supporters are not stupid
https://warisboring.com/yes-trump-is-a-fascist-heres-the-checklist-1920ad4d8163#.9fstyuskj — viewpoint that Trump is facist
http://www.wsj.com/articles/why-peter-thiel-really-supports-trump-1469226823 — Why Peter Thiel Supports Trump
http://www.npr.org/2016/08/18/490192497/bringing-back-manufacturing-jobs-would-be-harder-than-it-sounds — Economists say tarriff and trade deals won’t bring back manufacturing jobs
http://www.pbs.org/newshour/making-sense/trump-says-hell-bring-jobs-back-to-america-economists-are-skeptical/ — Tarriffs and Great Depression
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/donald-trump-self-fund_us_57fd4556e4b00c1fb2b023e0 — Not self funding. Just 7%
http://fortune.com/2015/08/20/donald-trump-index-funds/ — could have just invested the funds
http://money.cnn.com/2015/08/31/news/companies/donald-trump-bankruptcy/ — Trump bankrupcy
http://ryanholiday.net/heres-smart-people-believe-nonsense-trump-might-win/ — Why Trump will not win.
https://thearcmag.com/why-im-voting-for-trump-d86b1786fbbe#.xyyo7zk4q — Reasons people vote for Trump.
https://www.psychologytoday.com/blog/mind-in-the-machine/201609/the-psychology-behind-donald-trumps-unwavering-support — Why Trump has unwaivering support from some
http://fortune.com/2016/03/03/trump-net-worth/ — Not worth billions
http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/09/rfk-trump-2016-democratic-party-speechwriter-214270 — Trump would end our foreign wars
http://blog.dilbert.com/post/151288850856/presidential-temperament — this is the only pro trump blog that made sense
http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/09/rfk-trump-2016-democratic-party-speechwriter-214270 — Trump will reduce involvment in foreign wars
https://www.buzzfeed.com/mckaycoppins/mormon-voters-really-dont-like-donald-trump-heres-why#.hwmJaQNBY — Mormons really don’t like Trump
https://medium.com/bad-words/the-economics-of-trolling-5a3976f781bb#.siwlhrg9m — Trump is great at getting attention, but there is a limit to that
https://medium.com/@davidspinks/how-not-to-convert-a-trump-supporter-5ba7e8587209#.95ui6iqoe — How not to convert a Trump supporter
http://time.com/4246596/donald-trump-mitt-romney-utah-speech/ — March 3rd. I think seeing Mitt speaking out gave me the courage that it was the right thing to do.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trumps-favorite-dictators-in-reviled-tyrants-gop-nominee-finds-traits-to-praise/2016/07/06/8debf792-4385-11e6-bc99-7d269f8719b1_story.html — Trump praises dictators